US defence budget has money for Taiwan.

[Swampy]

Glad to hear it. And we should draw a line in the water, to say that, if any PRC vessel crosses it, we will sink it.

[Sir John]

I am sure that will come to pass, but probably only as a reaction to something China does.

Such as a blockade of the entire Island of Taiwan and its' island possessions. Taiwan has the tools to enforce a 3x supersonic anti-ship blockade out to about 400 kms from Pengu and Matsu island groups. If needed she can also close many international airports with the 7x Supersonic, 200 km SAMs.

China cannot live without an endless supply of ores and fuels.

SJ

[Sir John]

.....and if that happens then the worlds insurance companies will cancel all the policies, and the shipping companies will tell all the Captains to piss off!

SJ

[Swampy]

And, given China's economy and its shrinking population, Premier Xi may not want to rock the boat and risk the good life.

[Sir John]

I am 100% convinced that if Emporer XI tries to take Taiwan, he WILL fail.

ALL of those poor goose steppers is an only child, and Mum and Dad will be as pleased as punch to get that letter from the Emporer.

Both 50 years old, no hope of another kid to take his place and any hope of retirement off the table.

SJ

[Swampy]

And my question is, if those goose steppers do get killed, will that be enough to cause a revolt and overthrow the emperor?

[Sir John]

nationalinterest.org/feature/china-isn%E2%80%99t-ready-invade-taiwan-206006

I doubt that will change, as Taiwan can build 100x 'Brave Wind .3.' missiles far faster and cheaper than China can build a troop, DDG, or supply ship.

SJ