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Post by Swampy on Jan 4, 2023 11:40:17 GMT -5
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Post by Sir John on Jan 12, 2023 14:20:01 GMT -5
Been saying this over and over again.
The task is GREATER than 'Overlord'. The defending force is greater and better equiped than at Normandy. The invading force still must be at least 2 to 1 to be confident of success. Probably 150,000 defenders to 300,000 PLUS invaders.
The air and sea was 100% dominated by the invader at Overlord. It will be contested in a frantic D-Day in the Taiwan Strait. No plane or ship will be safe on either side. The critical battleground will be the 150 kms of the Taiwan Strait and critical time will be the 10 hours sailing time across it. Target #1 will be the troop ships and the supply ships. the CVs and DDG etc will be no threat, their role is to defend the Targets.
No Y-20 paratroop transport can hope to arrive over Taiwan intact. Taiwan's SAMs are Mach 7 and 200kms range, and they have maybe 1000 of them. production is being expanded/doubled as of now.
The Anti-Ship is Mach 3 and 400 kms range, and no ship of any nation will be safe inside that theatre after the shooting starts.
Taiwan has been facing threats for 50+ years and she has been digging for most of that time. Her Political and Military leadership and all the computers etc are safe 200' down in the rock.
A zillion SRBMs will not stop Taiwan and the State of War will be from the first impact onewards. All maritime trade will stop.
US satellites will guarantee that there can be no element of surprise in the days and weeks prior to D-Day. Taiwan's ports will be empty and airfields and aircraft will be scattered in hiding places all over the island. Truck mounted missiles will be on the move at all times and targeting will be near impossible.
JMNHO
SJ
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Post by Swampy on Jan 13, 2023 4:03:03 GMT -5
Agreed. But would China stage a year-long campaign to wear down the Taiwanese defences first? That happened from 1942 - 1944.
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Post by Swampy on Apr 17, 2023 2:29:35 GMT -5
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